SOLVING THE PARADOX OF STASIS: SQUASHED STABILIZING SELECTION AND THE LIMITS OF DETECTION
Authored by Benjamin C Haller, Andrew P Hendry
Date Published: 2014
DOI: 10.1111/evo.12275
Sponsors:
National Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC)
United States National Science Foundation (NSF)
Platforms:
No platforms listed
Model Documentation:
ODD
Mathematical description
Model Code URLs:
Model code not found
Abstract
Despite the potential for rapid evolution, stasis is commonly observed
over geological timescales-the so-called ``paradox of stasis.{''} This
paradox would be resolved if stabilizing selection were common, but
stabilizing selection is infrequently detected in natural populations.
We hypothesize a simple solution to this apparent disconnect:
stabilizing selection is hard to detect empirically once populations
have adapted to a fitness peak. To test this hypothesis, we developed an
individual-based model of a population evolving under an invariant
stabilizing fitness function. Stabilizing selection on the population
was infrequently detected in an ``empirical{''} sampling protocol, because (1) trait variation was low relative to the fitness peak
breadth; (2) nonselective deaths masked selection; (3) populations
wandered around the fitness peak; and (4) sample sizes were typically
too small. Moreover, the addition of negative frequency-dependent
selection further hindered detection by flattening or even dimpling the
fitness peak, a phenomenon we term ``squashed stabilizing selection.{''}
Our model demonstrates that stabilizing selection provides a plausible
resolution to the paradox of stasis despite its infrequent detection in
nature. The key reason is that selection ``erases its traces{''}: once
populations have adapted to a fitness peak, they are no longer expected
to exhibit detectable stabilizing selection.
Tags
frequency-dependent selection
Genetic-variation
Heterogeneous environments
Natural-populations
Phenotypic selection
Intraspecific
competition
Disruptive selection
Quantitative
trait
Directional selection
Fitness surfaces