Effect of detailed information in the minority game: optimality of 2-day memory and enhanced effciency due to random exogenous data
Authored by V Sasidevan
Date Published: 2016
DOI: 10.1088/1742-5468/2016/07/073405
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Abstract
In the minority game (MG), an odd number of heterogeneous and adaptive
agents choose between two alternatives and those who end up on the
minority side win. When the information available to the agents to make
their choice is the identity of the minority side for the past m days, it is well-known that the emergent coordination among the agents is
maximum when m similar to log2(N). The optimal memory-length thus
increases with the system size. In this work we show that, in MG when
the information available to the agents to make their choice is the
strength of the minority side for the past m days, the optimal memory
length for the agents is always two (m = 2) for large enough system
sizes. The system is ineffcient for m = 1 and converges to random choice
behaviour for m>2 for large N. Surprisingly, providing the agents with
uniformly and randomly sampled m = 1 exogenous information results in an
increase in coordination between them compared to the case of endogenous
information with any value of m. This is in stark contrast to the
conventional MG, where agent's coordination is invariant or gets worse
with respect to such random exogenous information.
Tags
Cooperation
Market
Agents
Strategy
Adaptive competition
Crowd-anticrowd theory
Thermal-model
Co-action