Multi-method dynamical reconstruction of the ecological impact of copper mining on Chinese historical landscapes
Authored by A Braun, H -J Rosner, R Hagensieker, S Dieball
Date Published: 2015
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.02.013
Sponsors:
No sponsors listed
Platforms:
NetLogo
Model Documentation:
ODD
Flow charts
Ontologies
Model Code URLs:
http://www.sciencedirect.com.ezproxy1.lib.asu.edu/science/article/pii/S0304380015000691
Abstract
This study deals with the historical impacts of mining as a result of
the economic development in Eastern Asia. It focuses on landscape
changes caused by the emerging copper mining industry in China's south
east provinces. Since the ecological aftermath has never been documented
in Chinese history, a reconstruction of dynamic landscape processes is
performed. A key region for this reconstruction are the mining areas in
Yunnan province. This province was the most important supplying region
of copper in China during the early and mid Qing dynasty (1725-1855).
Predictive modeling of the primary vegetation in combination with
dynamic agent-based reconstructions have been performed to analyze and
to understand deforestation processes. Therefore a time-discrete balance
between biomass removal and renewal has been carried out to characterize
different periods of landscape degradation, biodiversity and
agriculture. Besides the reconstruction, explanatory and experimental
results have been compiled to assess the ecological impacts of mining
during this period.
An `Evaludation' of the model was performed in order to verify the
applied concepts and test the integration of data as well as the
conclusive generation of results. Our calculations show that while
deforestation for mining was severe in the 18th and 19th century, rising
populations and agricultural reclamation had a bigger impact on the
clearance of forests. In addition, quantitative data for the ecological
succession show that deforestation was reduced by up to 75\% due to the
provision of regrowing biomass. Deforested areas around the mines were
either completely destroyed or of high biodiversity due to the abundance
of heterogenous vegetation communities within small spaces. Lastly, two
extreme scenarios were calculated which covered all positive and
negative triggers of deforestation. These calculations served as
reference data to evaluate model's quality: our model outputs lie within
the range of comparable studies but underestimate the total
deforestation reported and yet some uncertainties regarding forest fires
and other uses of biomass remain. This study has led to a more holistic
understanding of the interactions between copper mining and landscape
ecology in Chinese history. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Tags
models
Diversity
Conservation
Protocol
Broad-leaved forests
Intermediate disturbance
Southwestern china
Eastern china
Succession
Yunnan