The effects of social interactions on fertility decline in nineteenth-century France: An agent-based simulation experiment
Authored by Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon, Tommy E. Murphy
Date Published: 2013-07-01
DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2013.774435
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Abstract
We built an agent-based simulation, incorporating geographic and demographic data from nineteenth-century France, to study the role of social interactions in fertility decisions. The simulation made experimentation possible in a context where other empirical strategies were precluded by a lack of data. We evaluated how different decision rules, with and without interdependent decision-making, caused variations in population growth and fertility levels. The analyses show that incorporating social influence into the model allows empirically observed behaviour to be mimicked, especially at a national level. These findings shed light on individual-level mechanisms through which the French demographic transition may have developed.
Tags
Agent-based models
Social norms
Decision-Making
diffusion
Social interactions
France
demographic transition
fertility decline
simulation experiments