Agent-based modelling for ecological economics: A case study of the Republic of Armenia

Authored by Andranik S Akopov, Levon A Beklaryan, Armen K Saghatelyan

Date Published: 2017

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.11.012

Sponsors: Russian Foundation for Basic Research

Platforms: AnyLogic

Model Documentation: Other Narrative Flow charts Mathematical description

Model Code URLs: Model code not found

Abstract

The ecological modernisation of enterprises has led to significant levels of total emissions in the atmosphere. This is a very important and complex issue for the Republic of Armenia (RA). An agent-based model was developed to determine the best trade-offs for the ecological modernisation of enterprises. The aim is to solve the bi-objective optimisation problem, the objectives of which are the `Integrated Volume of Total Emissions' and the `Integrated Index of Industrial Production'. The results indicate that it is possible to reduce the total emissions in the atmosphere by more than 20\% for a ten-year period. This may be done by keeping up the positive dynamics of industrial production through choosing trade-offs in the frame of the `Pareto-optimal ecological modernisation' scenario. The scenario was obtained with the help of the suggested genetic algorithm, modified for the problem of the binary control of transitions from initial non-ecological states of each enterprise, towards the target state of ecologically pure manufacturing. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Tags

Agent-based modelling System dynamics Management Multi-objective optimization Genetic algorithm China Optimization Air pollution Area Ecological economics Ecological modernization Ecological-economics system Ecological trade-offs Republic of armenia