A unified inter-host and in-host model of antibiotic resistance and infection spread in a hospital ward

Authored by Barry Lawson, Lester Caudill

Date Published: 2017

DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.03.025

Sponsors: No sponsors listed

Platforms: MATLAB

Model Documentation: Other Narrative Mathematical description

Model Code URLs: Model code not found

Abstract

As the battle continues against hospital-acquired infections and the concurrent rise in antibiotic resistance among many of the major causative pathogens, there is a dire need to conduct controlled experiments, in order to compare proposed control strategies. However, cost, time, and ethical considerations make this evaluation strategy either impractical or impossible to implement with living patients. This paper presents a multi-scale model that offers promise as the basis for a tool to simulate these (and other) controlled experiments. This is a ``unified{''} model in two important ways: (i) It combines inter host and in-host dynamics into a single model, and (ii) it links two very different modeling approaches agent-based modeling and differential equations - into a single model. The potential of this model as an instrument to combat antibiotic resistance in hospitals is demonstrated with numerical examples. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Tags
Agent-based models mathematical models Nosocomial infection Differential equations Prevalence transmission antibiotic resistance Mathematical-model Population-dynamics Impact Pseudomonas-aeruginosa Staphylococcus-aureus Care-associated infections Antimicrobial resistance Bacterial-resistance