An agent-based model for diffusion of electric vehicles

Authored by Wander Jager, Rineke Verbrugge, Ayla Kangur, Marija Bockarjova

Date Published: 2017

DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2017.01.002

Sponsors: No sponsors listed

Platforms: No platforms listed

Model Documentation: Other Narrative Flow charts

Model Code URLs: Model code not found

Abstract

The transition from fuel cars to electric cars is a large-scale process involving many interactions between consumers and other stakeholders over decades. To explore how policies may interact with consumer behavior over such a long time period, we developed an agent-based social simulation model. In this model, detailed data of 1795 respondents have been used to parameterise an agent architecture that addresses different consumer needs and decision strategies. Numerical experiments indicate that effective policy requires a long-lasting implementation of a combination of monetary, structural and informational measures. The strongest effect on emission reduction requires an exclusive support for full battery electric cars and no support for hybrid cars. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Tags

Agent-based modelling Adoption Diffusion of innovations systems electric vehicles alternative fuel vehicles Market diffusion Environmental behavior Consumption