Transition to low-carbon economy: Assessing cumulative impacts of individual behavioral changes

Authored by Tatiana Filatova, Alexey Voinov, Leila Niamir, Hans Bressers

Date Published: 2018

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.03.045

Sponsors: European Union

Platforms: No platforms listed

Model Documentation: Other Narrative Mathematical description

Model Code URLs: Model code not found

Abstract

Changing residential energy demand can play an essential role in transitioning to a green economy. Environmental psychology suggests that behavioral changes regarding energy use are affected by knowledge, awareness, motivation and social learning. Data on various behavioral drivers of change can explain energy use at the individual level, but it provides little information about implications for macro energy demand on regional or national levels. We address this challenge by presenting a theoretically-based and empirically-driven agent based model to track aggregated impacts of behavioral changes among heterogeneous households. We focus on the representation of the multi-step changes in individual energy use behavior and on a quantitative assessment of their aggregated impacts on the regional level. We understand the behavioral complexity of household energy use as a dynamic process unfolding in stages, and explore the barriers for utilizing the full potential of a region for emissions reduction. We suggest a policy mix that facilitates mutual learning among consumers.
Tags
Agent-based model Social networks Agent-based modeling multiagent systems Decision-Making diffusion Policy Technology adoption behavior change Efficiency Residential energy Low-carbon economy Empirical-evidence Multiagent systems Norm activation theory Household energy use Dynamic electricity tariffs Pro-environmental behavior Norm activation model Land-use models Technology adoption Electricity tariffs