Human impact on the diversity and virulence of the ubiquitous zoonotic parasite Toxoplasma gondii
Authored by Xiaopeng Zhao, Chunlei Su, Xing-Quan Zhu, E Keats Shwab, Pooja Saraf, Dong-Hui Zhou, Brent M McFerrin, Daniel Ajzenberg, Gereon Schares, Kenneth Hammond-Aryee, Helden Paul van, Steven A Higgins, Richard W Gerhold, Benjamin M Rosenthal, Jitender P Dubey
Date Published: 2018
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1722202115
Sponsors:
Chinese National Natural Science Foundation
United States National Science Foundation (NSF)
Platforms:
NetLogo
Model Documentation:
Other Narrative
Flow charts
Model Code URLs:
https://www-pnas-org.ezproxy1.lib.asu.edu/highwire/filestream/816436/field_highwire_adjunct_files/2/pnas.1722202115.sd02.rtf
Abstract
A majority of emerging infectious diseases in humans are zoonoses.
Understanding factors that influence the emergence and transmission of
zoonoses is pivotal for their prevention and control. Toxoplasma gondii
is one of the most widespread zoonotic pathogens known today. Whereas
only a few genotypes of T. gondii dominate in the Northern Hemisphere,
many genotypes coexist in South America. Furthermore, T. gondii strains
from South America are more likely to be virulent than those from the
Northern Hemisphere. However, it is not clear what factor(s) shaped
modern-day genetic diversity and virulence of T. gondii. Here, our
analysis suggests that the rise and expansion of farming in the past
11,000 years established the domestic cat/mouse transmission cycle for
T. gondii, which has undoubtedly played a significant role in the
selection of certain linages of T. gondii. Our mathematical simulations
showed that within the domestic transmission cycle, intermediately
mouse-virulent T. gondii genotypes have an adaptive advantage and
eventually become dominant due to a balance between lower host mortality
and the ability to superinfect mice previously infected with a less
virulent T. gondii strain. Our analysis of the global type II lineage of
T. gondii suggests its Old World origin but recent expansion in North
America, which is likely the consequence of global human migration and
trading. These results have significant implications concerning
transmission and evolution of zoonotic pathogens in the rapidly
expanding anthropized environment demanded by rapid growth of the human
population and intensive international trading at present and in the
future.
Tags
Agent-based model
Evolution
mathematical modeling
Population genetics
Toxoplasma gondii
Transmission dynamics
Mice
Genotype
Virulence
Spatial-distribution
Cats
Population-genetics
Food-habits
Pseudokinase rop5
Rural area