Multi-scale resilience of a communal rangeland system in South Africa
Authored by Sebastian Rasch, Thomas Heckelei, Roelof Oomen, Christiane Naumann, Hugo Storm
Date Published: 2017
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.08.012
Sponsors:
German Research Foundation (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, DFG)
Platforms:
No platforms listed
Model Documentation:
ODD
Flow charts
Mathematical description
Model Code URLs:
Model code not found
Abstract
Resilience has either been assessed on system or individual scale so
far. Ignoring the other scale may potentially change the interpretation
of resilience in socio-ecological systems (SES). Thus, this paper argues
that the co-evolution of both resiliencies must be studied to capture
multi-scale complexity. We attempt to close this gap by assessing
resilience at both scales of a village community in Thaba Nchu, South
Africa. Villagers use a commonly managed rangeland for beef cattle
production. An agent based model of household interaction coupled with a
biophysical model of the rangeland measures the resiliencies of the SES
towards a shock, a stress and a policy intervention. Currently, the SES
remains in a stable attractor in terms of SES resilience. Household
resilience, however, degrades in a process of structural change. A
drought scenario shows improved SES resilience but structural change at
household level accelerated. An increase in the number absentee herders
increases the likelihood for SES collapse by eroding social
embededdness. Finally, an introduced basic income grant demonstrates
that the SES is able to cope with an increased number of appropriators.
However, interaction of the policy intervention with an exogenous stress
translates into an increased probability of SES decoupling. (C) 2016
Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Tags
Agent-based model
Agent based model
Complex adaptive systems
Economics
Livestock production
Policy
resilience
Socio-ecological system
South Africa
Social-ecological systems
Odd
protocol
Socioecological systems
Resource-management
Water-use
Rangeland
systems
Development