Micro and macro policies in the Keynes plus Schumpeter evolutionary models

Authored by Giovanni Dosi, Andrea Roventini, Mauro Napoletano, Tania Treibich

Date Published: 2017

DOI: 10.1007/s00191-016-0466-4

Sponsors: Institute for New Economic Thinking

Platforms: No platforms listed

Model Documentation: Other Narrative Mathematical description

Model Code URLs: Model code not found

Abstract

This paper presents the family of the Keynes+Schumpeter (K+S, cf. Dosi et al, J Econ Dyn Control 34 1748-1767 2010, J Econ Dyn Control 37 1598-1625 2013, J Econ Dyn Control 52 166-189 2015) evolutionary agent-based models, which study the effects of a rich ensemble of innovation, industrial dynamics and macroeconomic policies on the long-term growth and short-run fluctuations of the economy. The K+S models embed the Schumpeterian growth paradigm into a complex system of imperfect coordination among heterogeneous interacting firms and banks, where Keynesian (demand-related) and Minskian (credit cycle) elements feed back into the meso and macro dynamics. The model is able to endogenously generate long-run growth together with business cycles and major crises. Moreover, it reproduces a long list of macroeconomic and microeconomic stylized facts. Here, we discuss a series of experiments on the role of policies affecting i) innovation, ii) industry dynamics, iii) demand and iv) income distribution. Our results suggest the presence of strong complementarities between Schumpeterian (technological) and Keynesian (demand-related) policies in ensuring that the economic system follows a path of sustained stable growth and employment.
Tags
Agent-based model Evolution Innovation Productivity Distributions information Business cycles investment Credit Innovation policies Macroeconomic policies Income inequality Disequilibrium dynamics Oecd countries Output growth Firms Specificities