Dispersal kernels of the invasive alien western corn rootworm and the effectiveness of buffer zones in eradication programmes in Europe
Authored by L R Carrasco, T D Harwood, S Toepfer, A MacLeod, N Levay, J Kiss, R H A Baker, J D Mumford, J D Knight
Date Published: 2010
DOI: 10.1111/j.1744-7348.2009.00363.x
Sponsors:
European Union
UK Department of Environment Food and Rural Affairs
Rural Economy and Land Use Program
Platforms:
No platforms listed
Model Documentation:
Other Narrative
Mathematical description
Model Code URLs:
Model code not found
Abstract
Europe is attempting to contain or, in some regions, to eradicate the
invading and maize destroying western corn rootworm (WCR). Eradication
and containment measures include crop rotation and insecticide
treatments within different types of buffer zones surrounding new
introduction points. However, quantitative estimates of the relationship
between the probability of adult dispersal and distance from an
introduction point have not been used to determine the width of buffer
zones. We address this by fitting dispersal models of the negative
exponential and negative power law families in logarithmic and
non-logarithmic form to recapture data from nine mark-release-recapture
experiments of marked WCR adults from habitats as typically found in the
vicinity of airports in southern Hungary in 2003 and 2004. After each
release of 4000-6300 marked WCR, recaptures were recorded three times
using non-baited yellow sticky traps at 30-305 m from the release point
and sex pheromone-baited transparent sticky traps placed at 500-3500 m.
Both the negative exponential and negative power law models in non-log
form presented the best overall fit to the numbers of recaptured adults
(1\% recapture rate). The negative exponential model in log form
presented the best fit to the data in the tail. The models suggested
that half of the dispersing WCR adults travelling along a given bearing
will have travelled between 117 and 425 m and 1\% of the adults between
775 and 8250 m after 1 day. An individual-based model of dispersal and
mortality over a generation of WCR adults indicated that 9.7-45.3\% of
the adults would escape a focus zone (where maize is only grown once in
3 consecutive years) of 1 km radius and 0.6-21\% a safety zone (where
maize is only grown once in 2 consecutive years) of 5 km radius and
consequently current European Commission (EC) measures are inadequate
for the eradication of WCR in Europe. Although buffer zones large enough
to allow eradication would be economically unpalatable, an increase of
the minimum width of the focus zone from 1 to 5 km and the safety zone
from 5 to 50 km would improve the management of local dispersal.
Tags
Density
Coleoptera
Wind
Beetles
Diabrotica-virgifera-virgifera
Attraction radius
Flight behavior
Mass-marking
Chrysomelidae
Recapture