Agent-based model to rural-urban migration analysis
Authored by JJ Silveira, AL Espindola, TJP Penna
Date Published: 2006-05-15
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2005.08.055
Sponsors:
Brazilian Ministry of Education (CAPES)
Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq)
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Abstract
In this paper, we analyze the rural-urban migration phenomenon as it is usually observed in economies which are in the early stages of industrialization. The analysis is conducted by means of a statistical mechanics approach which builds a computational agent-based model. Agents are placed on a lattice and the connections among them are described via an Ising-like model. Simulations on this computational model show some emergent properties that are common in developing economies, such as a transitional dynamics characterized by continuous growth of urban population, followed by the equalization of expected wages between rural and urban sectors (Harris-Todaro equilibrium condition), urban concentration and increasing of per capita income. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Tags
econophysics
Computational Modeling
Monte Carlo method
Rural-urban migration