The Jet: Wise model of national airspace system evolution
Authored by WP Niedringhaus
Date Published: 2004-01
DOI: 10.1177/0037549704042029
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Abstract
Jet:Wise is an agent-based model that explores the evolution of the airline industry and its interactions with the National Airspace System (NAS). It models competitive decisions airlines make, such as setting fleet mix, itineraries, schedules, and fares and responding to delays and missed connections. The model addresses questions of the form, “How would a specific, quantifiable change in one aspect of the NAS affect the entire NAS?” Examples include changes in operational costs, passenger demand, and flight times; removal of certain Federal Aviation Administration restrictions; improvements in technology; new facilities; congestion pricing; mergers; startup airlines; and the expansion of low-cost carriers. Understanding their complex interaction is beyond the ability of traditional modeling tools and has not been attempted until now. Validation evidence is presented: Jet:Wise is shown to produce a close correlation between simulated and observed leisure passenger counts both by origin-destination city pairs and for individual flights.
Tags
Agent-based modeling
Evolution
Validation
airlines
profits