Modeling the exposure risk of the silver catfish Rhamdia quelen (Teleostei, Heptapteridae) to wastewater
Authored by Izabella de Andrade Brito, Lopez-Barrera Ellie Anne, Araujo Sabrina Borges Lino, Oliveira Ribeiro Ciro Alberto de
Date Published: 2017
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.12.017
Sponsors:
Brazilian Ministry of Education (CAPES)
Platforms:
No platforms listed
Model Documentation:
ODD
Flow charts
Mathematical description
Model Code URLs:
Model code not found
Abstract
It is well known that the early life cycle stages of fishes are highly
sensitive to chemical exposure. However, little is known about the
effects of pollutants on the other life stages, due the difficulty of
experimental/empirical approaches. Here we developed an experiment to
evaluate the embryo-larval survival rate of the silver catfish (Rhamdia
quelen) exposed to different source of pollution: untreated sewage, sewage treated by UASB technology and by recycling water technology
(with and without chlorine). We then propose a stochastic
individual-based model (IBM) to evaluate the effect of the pollutants on
population dynamics of the species using four hypothetical scenarios
where the pollutants affect: (I) only the embryo-larval stage; (II) both
the embryo-larval and juvenile stages; (III) both the larval and adult
stages; (IV) all three stages. Experimental approaches show high
mortality rates, except the sewage treated by water recycling technology
without chlorine. The theoretical model predicts that the adult
population is not affected when the pressure of the pollutants is
limited to the embryo-larval stage or both the embryo-larval and
juvenile stages. However, a small decrease in adult survival probability
(when the third and fourth scenarios are considered) can lead to a
reduction in population size. When the pollutant affects proportionally
all stages, the population reduces to 46\% (UASB treatment) or become
extinct (untreated sewage and recycling water treatment with chlorine).
The recycling water treatment without chlorine shows to be the best
treatment, reducing the population only to 80\%. Our study highlights
that it is necessary to improve the sewage treatment, otherwise it can
promote harsh conditions for the biota accelerating the conditions that
cause local extinction. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Tags
Brazil
River
Fish
Parameters
Toxicity
Embryos
Reproductive-biology
Siluriformes
Herbicide
Clomazone
Individual-based model (ibm)
Embryo toxicology
Wastewater
contamination
Rhamdia quelen
Recycling water treatment